Pep Guardiola seems not to be Joe Hart’s biggest fan. Since Pep’s unveiling as Manchester City’s new manager, rumours have abounded that a new goalkeeper is sought, with Inter’s Samir Handanovic, Barcelona’s Marc-Andre ter Stegen, and Real Sociedad’s promising Geronimo Rulli among those to have been linked with a move to England’s third city. Advocates […]Read more "How good is Joe Hart? Why Goalimpact might not be a great way to assess keepers"
It’s by now very well-known that Save% (Sv%) is a flawed means of judging a goalkeeper’s shot-stopping ability. The chief reason for this was established in 2014 research by Sander Ijtsma (here) and Colin Trainor (here), which found a keeper’s Sv% from a single season to have very little predictive power as to what they […]Read more "Someone sign Mannone! A budget method of ranking shot-stoppers"
So Liverpool have signed Loris Karius, a 22-year old goalkeeper with a plentiful range of tattoos, a fringe to rival Edinburgh, and a friendship with Justin Bieber to boot. Having put pen to paper on a 5-year deal, the question for Kloppite Koppites the world over becomes a simple one: Is it too late now […]Read more "Concerning Karius: Cross-Claiming Analysis"
Not all shots are created equal. We know that. Whilst a speculative long-range effort with a crowd of players in the way is just as much a shot as is a David Nugent-style already-on-the-goal-line tap-in (if that reference has gone over your head then skip to 0:52 on this video for the finest finish you’ll ever […]Read more "Shot-stopping, ft. Bruno Mars"
The esteem in which Leicester City are currently held by fans and pundits of all stripes has probably never been higher. The incredible unlikeliness of their surge to the upper echelons of the Premier League is particularly well captured by the massive gulf in the betting markets’ predictions for the Foxes’ final points tally at […]Read more "Why Leicester Might be Wise to Cash in on Kasper Schmeichel"
“If a tree falls in a forest and no one is around to hear it, does it make a sound?” Philosophers have been baffled by the perception of trees for centuries. In a 1710 treatise, the Anglo-Irish philosopher George Berkeley wrote of some hypothetical trees in a hypothetical garden: “The objects of sense exist only […]Read more "Stats vs. Intuition: What scouts can learn from Social Science"
Wealth inequality is bad news for a country’s growth prospects. Everyone’s favourite economist/football analyst/Argentinean wine expert Dan Altman takes up the story here in The New York Times. So how exactly is inequality calculated within a given dataset? Economists apply the Gini coefficient, which, in the omniscient words of Wikipedia “is a measure of statistical dispersion intended […]Read more "Inequality within Football Teams: 32 ≠ 32?"